May, 2024

The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season might be shaping up to be one of the most active in history, with meteorologists forecasting 20-25 named storms across the Atlantic Basin throughout the 2024 season.

In normal years, hurricane season runs from early June until late November, though the season can be expanded to encompass additional months if consecutive storms occur. Current predictions indicate that this year, the Atlantic will endure 8 to 12 hurricanes, with 4 to 7 becoming major hurricanes during their lifetime and 4 to 6 making landfall in the US. All of these figures are well above the 30-year historical average of 14 named storms and 3 major hurricanes with direct landfall in the US. 

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30, when tropical or subtropical cyclones are most likely to form in the North Atlantic Ocean.

In 2023, the Atlantic Basin experienced 19 named storms, though only 4 of them had a direct impact on the US. One of the main driving forces behind the upcoming season’s possible increasing intensity is the presence of unseasonably warm water in the Gulf of Mexico. Unusually warm waters are often a precursor to tropical storms, particularly in November when the Atlantic hurricane season would usually be winding down. 

Caribbean nations such as Haiti, Dominica, and the Dominican Republic have the potential to suffer production delays or crop losses as a result of strong storms and hurricanes.

For the flavor and fragrance industry, the Atlantic Hurricane Season represents the potential for delays and damage to citrus products, as well as all products produced in the Caribbean. This includes vetiver oil, amyris oil, and bay oil – three items that have historically struggled with extreme weather events. 

Berjé will continue to monitor the weather at our sourcing locations, providing updates on individual products as they become available.

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Written By
Sean Farley